You bring important perspectives which l have valued and appreciated. Other analysts that l also follow, clearly recognise your knowledge and experience.
I second all the comments re being thankful that we again have the benefits of your insights. Your explanation of Putin's response - or lack thereof - to Ukraine's Kursk incursion makes sense. As you note, we don't know exactly what Ukraine's objective is or whether they're likely to achieve it - all speculation in the media is just that: speculation. But it's helpful to understand why Putin can and is reacting the way he has so far. Your comparisons to earlier 'embarrassments' in different circumstances sheds light on how Putin thinks about these matters and why the Russian people continue to endure what they have decided they must.
I think the blow against Putin's popularity is supposed to come from the need to mobilize more soldiers to push the Ukrainians out again or to use the conscripts. It is not going to be an option for Putin in the long run to just ignore the incursion.
Good to have you back, Sam, I’ve missed you!
You bring important perspectives which l have valued and appreciated. Other analysts that l also follow, clearly recognise your knowledge and experience.
I second all the comments re being thankful that we again have the benefits of your insights. Your explanation of Putin's response - or lack thereof - to Ukraine's Kursk incursion makes sense. As you note, we don't know exactly what Ukraine's objective is or whether they're likely to achieve it - all speculation in the media is just that: speculation. But it's helpful to understand why Putin can and is reacting the way he has so far. Your comparisons to earlier 'embarrassments' in different circumstances sheds light on how Putin thinks about these matters and why the Russian people continue to endure what they have decided they must.
Really happy to see you back....now to go read past the intro!
Thanks, Sam. I've missed your insights and reading/music recommendations!
Very glad to see this newsletter in my inbox again! Your insights are always welcome.
I had almost forgotten this blog. Fab to see it back. It was always a good read.
Welcome back.
I think the blow against Putin's popularity is supposed to come from the need to mobilize more soldiers to push the Ukrainians out again or to use the conscripts. It is not going to be an option for Putin in the long run to just ignore the incursion.